chris_chi24 said:If two explanations both fit, the useful question is which one predicts something the other does not.
Correct as far as it goes. The part it does not cover is what to do when the honest answer is "not enough data", which is more often than anyone likes.
KarenAZ_mom said:That is right, and it stops being right at the edges.
Genuinely useful, thank you. I had the facts and not the framework. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.
chris_chi24 said:If two explanations both fit, the useful question is which one predicts something the other does not.
Careful with the causal language. Two things moving together in a period when five things changed is not a mechanism, and stating it as one makes the thread less useful to somebody reading it later.
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Moderator note: good thread. Keeping it here rather than moving it, because the question is general enough to be useful. Tagging this one for the weekly digest.