This was answered several pages up and is worth repeating rather than re-litigating:
I am going to disagree with the direction of travel here. The thread has converged on the tidiest answer rather than the best-supported one, and those are not the same thing.
Dr.PeteFamMed said:The part it does not cover is what to do when the honest answer is "not enough data", which is more often than anyone likes.
Fair, and it stops being fair at the extremes. The middle of the range is well understood; the ends are where the honest answer is that nobody knows.
Dr.PeteFamMed said:The part it does not cover is what to do when the honest answer is "not enough data", which is more often than anyone likes.
Bookmarking. The distinction being drawn above is the one nobody else makes.
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james_edin said:Fair, and it stops being fair at the extremes.
Same experience, arrived at from the opposite direction.